The Predictive Market's Blind Spot: Iran's 30.5% Deal Probability and the Hidden Tail Risk in Crypto
Hook Polymarket says 30.5%. Thatโs the implied probability of a US-Iran nucle...
Tail Risk related articles
Hook Polymarket says 30.5%. Thatโs the implied probability of a US-Iran nucle...
Fear
Market Sentiment
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
92 million ARB released
Block reward halving event
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Team and early investor shares released
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Bitcoin Season
| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$63,120.2 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,872.9 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$72.97 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$579.1 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.06 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0701 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1740 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$6.36 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.7695 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$8.1 |